A program of ambitious but absolutely necessary

Political continuity to the left, but radical style change. Dilma Rousseff, from the of the workers party (PT), prepares as successor to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, elected in 2002 and re-elected in 2006. Those who won the presidential election of October with 56 of the vote on his social democrat rival Jose Serra, scroll in Rolls Royce convertible in the direction of the Presidential Palace (the Planalto) designed in the early 1960s by the architect - Communist he also - Oscar Niemeyer, where Lula will give him the keys to power for four years. To the rank of personalities, 12 Presidents, 8 Prime Ministers, Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, and the French Defence Minister, Alain Juppe will be present, while the France and the United States are still in competition for the sale of 36 fighters to the Air Force Brazilian - a controversial case that Lula has not resolved before the end of its mandate, and now finds itself on the Office of the new President.

Tighten its monetary policy

Dilma Rousseff is the dauphine of Lula, it is a change in style. Of the former trade unionist holder of a small CAP of tourneur, in the Marxist ex-révolutionnaire formed in economics which States have devoured "any Dostoyevsky" in prison, under the military regime in the 1970s, and which has recently revealed a penchant for Marcel Proust, there is a gap that only policy is managed to fill. The social remains a key priority. Full employment, poverty eradication... Dilma will stay the course on these ideals of left.

Economic growth close to 8 this year, but for not that the machine was packaged, the economy Minister, Guido Mantega (confirmed in his position by Dilma Rousseff) already outlined measures of "adjustment". Immediate concern: inflation, verging on the 6 in 2010, which should lead the Central Bank to tighten monetary policy as early as next month, under the direction of its new President Alexandre Tombini. But the Central Bank will not be able to fight inflation by increasing the interest rates because it would render the real even more attractive, while the strengthening of the Brazilian currency two years penalizes more the exporters. The real is subject also to the inflow of capital: foreign direct investment reached $ 30 billion this year and rise to 45 billion in 2011.

Lula repeats the envi that "the Brazil will be the fifth largest economy in the world here at the Olympic Games of Rio in 2016". It is now in eighth place. But to achieve this goal of great power, Dilma Rousseff, who was Minister of energy before managing the "growth acceleration program" (Cap) Lula, knows that the large site remains more than ever that infrastructure.

A battery of measures

The Government has already unveiled, shortly before Christmas, a battery of measures to promote funding private projects (at the present time, a public Bank of development - BNDES - is one of the only sources of long-term funding). Over four years, Rousseff Government and finance investments in the order of 350 billion reais (approximately EUR 160 billion) thanks to tax incentives and a reform of the capital market. A program of ambitious, but absolutely necessary. As by the Olympic Games in 2016, Dilma Rousseff must face the challenge of the football World Cup, which will be organized in a dozen cities of the Brazil in summer 2014.

Brazil: Lula with Dilma on