Employment is still declining in tertiary 0

The quasi-stabilisation of the employment in the third quarter announced by the Insee a month ago is finally occurred. Very heavily revising its forecasts, the Statistical Institute announced yesterday that the economy had, in fact, destroyed 93 merchant 100postes of July to September and not 5 500emplois as estimated initially. Clearly, the magnitude of the destruction in the market sectors continued at the same rate as in the previous quarter. Between the provisional estimate (extrapolated from a survey of the Dares only covering establishments in 10salariés and more) and final turnover yesterday (produced from the Urssaf slips), Insee is thus the large gap. In times of crisis, "it is possible that the intrinsic dynamics of very small business is different from that of the large, advance Stéfan Lollivier, Director of statistics, demographic and social of the Insee." "Alternatively, the investigation of the Dares might itself be corrected for its final publication.The Insee will engage expertise, including the Dares.

Very sharp recovery of the acting

In the meantime, the result is without appeal: over a year, merchant employment contracted by 2.7, with 447 300postes deleted. It thus falls to the level of the first quarter of 2006, 16, 06millions of employees. The overall employment moves slightly less (0.4 from the previous quarter, -2.2 over a year), because it takes into account the rise of the jobs in the non-market sectors. The workforce in the industry decline continues at the same rate (1.4), but increases in construction (-1.1). Employment is still declining in tertiary (0.2) but is marked by a sharp recovery of the acting ( 8.5, with 36 900nouveaux positions). Acting jobs had been the first to bear the costs of the crisis. Their return could be a harbinger of an improvement in the labour market.

Alternating training

"The peak of the destruction of jobs should likely be reached end of 2009 or in the first months of 2010", finds pole employment. Growth expected next year will not be enough to create jobs but will limit the pace of the destruction. "As a first step, employers will deflate the use of partial unemployment, and to cope with the resumption without hiring," said Bernard Ernst, Director of statistics." "Moreover, they have not had time to adjust their workforce to the sharp downturn in activity and therefore have a reserve of manpower.".Pole job table on 62 000nouvelles destruction of positions in 2010, after 325 000cette year. The number of unemployed of city would continue to advance: fine, after 468.000 in 2009.

An attempt to stem the bleeding, the Government wishes to promote the training of young people. Presenting yesterday a report which had been requested last summer, Henri Proglio (now interim CEO of EDF) suggests including a tax credit for companies committing to increase over three years from their staff in alternation. Henri Proglio was yesterday assured that the commitment to recruit 100 000jeunes alternating over two years which had been taken this summer by the 50plus large French enterprises "was held at 90 " on the first year.